4. Comparative Quantification of Mortality and Burden of Disease Attributable to Selected Risk Factors

Table 4.4: Individual and Joint Contributions of Risk Factors to 10 Leading Diseases and Total Burden of Disease

Individual and Joint Contributions of Risk Factors to 10 Leading Diseases and Total Burden of Disease
World
DiseaseProportion of global disease burden (%) [total: 1.54 billion DALYs(3,0)]Proportion of global mortality (%) (total: 56.2 million deaths)PAFs for individual risk factors (for disease burden)Joint PAF - disease burden (%)Joint PAF - mortality (%)
Lower respiratory infections5.66.7Childhood underweight (37%); zinc deficiency (15%); indoor smoke from solid fuels (35%); smoking (4%)a; urban air pollution (1%)b5342
Ischemic heart disease5.512.6High blood pressure (45%); high cholesterol (48%); overweight and obesity (18%); low fruit and vegetable intake (28%); physical inactivity (21%); smoking (17%); alcohol use (2%); urban air pollution (2%)b8079
Stroke4.79.6High blood pressure (54%); high cholesterol (16%); overweight and obesity (12%); low fruit and vegetable intake (11%); physical inactivity (7%); smoking (13%); alcohol use (3%); urban air pollution (3%)b6560
HIV/AIDS4.74.6Unsafe sex (95%); contaminated injections in health care settings (5%); illicit drug use (3%)9696
Diarrheal diseases3.93.2Childhood underweight (50%); vitamin A deficiency (22%); zinc deficiency (12%); unsafe water, sanitation, and hygiene (88%)9293
Unipolar depressive disorders3.40.0Alcohol use (2%); childhood sexual abuse (5%)6NAc
Low birthweight2.82.3Iron-deficiency anemia (14%); alcohol use (0.5%)1617
Malaria2.62.1Childhood underweight (51%); vitamin A deficiency (19%); zinc deficiency (22%)5961
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease2.54.8Indoor smoke from solid fuels (30%); urban air pollution (2%)b; smoking (44%)6462
Tuberculosis2.42.9Smoking (4%)a910
Communicable, maternal, perinatal, and nutritional conditions36.532.3Multiple risks (see annex 4A)4647
Noncommunicable diseases52.658.5Multiple risks (see annex 4A)3349
Injuries10.99.2Multiple risks (see annex 4A)1518
All causes100100All 19 selected risks (see annex 4A)3646
Low- and middle-income countries
DiseaseProportion of regional disease burden (%) [total: 1.39 billion DALYs(3,0)]Proportion of regional mortality (%) (total: 48.3 million deaths)PAFs for individual risk factors (for disease burden)Joint PAF - disease burden (%)Joint PAF - mortality (%)
Lower respiratory infections6.07.0Childhood underweight (38%); zinc deficiency (16%); indoor smoke from solid fuels (36%); smoking (4%)a; urban air pollution (4%)b5444
Ischemic heart disease5.211.8High blood pressure (44%); high cholesterol (46%); overweight and obesity (16%); low fruit and vegetable intake (30%); physical inactivity (21%); smoking (15%); alcohol use (4%); urban air pollution (2%)b8078
HIV/AIDS5.15.3Unsafe sex (95%); contaminated injections in health care settings (5%); illicit drug use (3%)9797
Stroke4.59.5High blood pressure (54%); high cholesterol (15%); overweight and obesity (10%); low fruit and vegetable intake (11%); physical inactivity (6%); smoking (12%); alcohol use (5%); urban air pollution (4%)b6461
Diarrheal diseases4.23.7Childhood underweight (56%); vitamin A deficiency (22%); zinc deficiency (12%); unsafe water, sanitation, and hygiene (88%)9394
Unipolar major depression3.10.0Alcohol use (1%); childhood sexual abuse (5%)6NAc
Low birthweight3.12.7Iron-deficiency anemia (14%); alcohol use (0.5%)1617
Malaria2.92.5Childhood underweight (51%); vitamin A deficiency (19%); zinc deficiency (22%)5961
Tuberculosis2.63.3Smoking (4%)c910
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease2.44.9Indoor smoke from solid fuels (35%); urban air pollution (2%)b; smoking (40%)6360
Communicable, maternal, perinatal, and nutritional conditions39.836.4Multiple risks (see annex 4A)4748
Noncommunicable diseases48.953.8Multiple risks (see annex 4A)3350
Injuries11.29.8Multiple risks (see annex 4A)1518
All causes100100All 19 selected risks (see annex 4A)3646
High-income countries
DiseaseProportion of regional disease burden (%) [total: 149.2 million DALYs(3,0)]Proportion of regional mortality (%) (total: 7.9 million deaths)PAFs for individual risk factors (for disease burden)Joint PAF - disease burden (%)Joint PAF - mortality (%)
Ischemic heart disease8.317.3High blood pressure (48%); high cholesterol (57%); overweight and obesity (27%); low fruit and vegetable intake (19%); physical inactivity (21%); smoking (23%); alcohol use (-13%); urban air pollution (1%)b8480
Stroke6.39.9High blood pressure (56%); high cholesterol (25%); overweight and obesity (20%); low fruit and vegetable intake (9%); physical inactivity (8%); smoking (21%); alcohol use (-11%); urban air pollution (1%)b6854
Unipolar depressive disorders5.60.0Alcohol use (4%); childhood sexual abuse (4%)7NAc
Dementia and other degenerative and hereditary central nervous system disorders5.02.6None of the selected risksNANA
Trachea, bronchus, and lung cancers3.65.8Indoor smoke from solid fuels (coal only) (0%); smoking (84%); low fruit and vegetable intake (9%); urban air pollution (3%)b8687
Hearing loss3.60.0None of the selected risksNANA
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease3.53.8Indoor smoke from solid fuels (0%); urban air pollution (1%)b; smoking (73%)7376
Diabetes mellitus2.82.6Overweight and obesity (76%); physical inactivity (15%); smoking (4%)a; alcohol use (-5%)7874
Alcohol use disorders2.80.3Alcohol use (100%); childhood sexual abuse (6%)100100
Osteoarthritis2.72.4Overweight and obesity (20%); smoking (4%)a20NAc
Communicable, maternal, perinatal, and nutritional conditions5.77.0Multiple risks (see annex 4A)1818
Noncommunicable diseases86.787.0Multiple risks (see annex 4A)3748
Injuries7.56.0Multiple risks (see annex 4A)2122
All causes100100All 19 selected risks (see annex 4A)3444

Source: Authors' calculations.

Note: NA = not applicable. Risk factors are those listed in table 4.1. These factors also contribute to other diseases that are not among the leading 10.

a. Affected by smoking in the category "other respiratory diseases" or "selected other medical causes" (Ezzati and Lopez 2003, 2004; Peto and others 1992). The PAF has large uncertainty.

b. Affected by urban air pollution in the category "cardiopulmonary diseases." The PAF for individual causes has large uncertainty.

c. The number of deaths coded to "hearing loss," "unipolar depressive disorders," "osteoarthritis," and "dementia and other degenerative and hereditary central nervous system disorders" is zero or very small in the GBD database, making the mortality PAF for these diseases undefined or unstable.

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