5. Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analyses for Burden of Disease and Risk Factor Estimates

Table 5.5: Estimated Total Deaths and 95 Percent Uncertainty Ranges for Selected Causes, by Region, 2001SFTRET(thousands)

Estimated Total Deaths and 95 Percent Uncertainty Ranges for Selected Causes, by Region, 2001SFTRET(thousands)
East Asia and PacificEurope and Central AsiaLatin America and the CaribbeanMiddle East and North AfricaSouth AsiaSub-Saharan AfricaHigh-income countriesWorld
CauseDeathsUncertaintyDeathsUncertaintyDeathsUncertaintyDeathsUncertaintyDeathsUncertaintyDeathsUncertaintyDeathsUncertaintyDeathsUncertainty
All causes13,07012,379-13,8665,6695,334-6,1223,2773,166-3,4111,9141,790-2,08813,55713,053-14,24010,8379,267-13,1647,8917,830-7,96356,21653,387-60,173
Tuberculosis534497-5786658-764541-502321-26604567-652317258-4001615-171,6051,476-1,771
HIV/AIDS10697-1162824-358374-9443-4272255-2922,0581,802-2,3672221-232,5732,325-2,872
Diarrheal diseases226199-2521514-165549-617465-84695628-757712571-90866-61,7821,557-2,065
Pertussis33-400-065-886-910890-130176134-23300-0301243-382
Diphtheria11-100-000-000-033-311-200-065-7
Measles7666-8587-800-01513-18216190-241447355-57711-2762637-925
Tetanus2725-3000-011-143-5140131-15212197-15600-0293259-343
Meningitis3329-391413-151715-20109-117166-792319-2944-5173157-195
Hepatitis B3229-3633-444-565-72826-312116-2855-610090-114
Hepatitis C1312-1511-122-233-31110-1286-111211-125146-56
Malaria3025-3600-021-21917-226357-711,093841-1,46500-01,207941-1,596
Schistosomiasis33-400-011-188-900-022-300-01413-16
Lower respiratory infections544449-65510494-116157140-17710890-1301,4141,173-1,6981,080833-1,419345310-3713,7513,181-4,456
Upper respiratory infections2725-3044-532-322-32019-221310-1744-47366-83
Maternal conditions3723-5632-41612-211510-22199158-252237158-34111-1508381-676
Perinatal conditions502447-5675753-62164153-17710695-1221,086985-1,215573462-7323231-342,5212,250-2,876
Stomach cancer442386-50410189-1145753-611816-204540-523328-40146135-157842773-917
Colon and rectal cancers159142-1799687-1063734-39109-113531-402017-24257238-276614579-648
Trachea, bronchus, and lung cancers387341-438165148-1875551-592018-22129113-1461513-17456421-4911,2271,152-1,302
Breast cancer9383-1036359-683734-401413-157667-853428-43155144-167472444-502
Cervix uteri cancer4742-521918-212624-2954-58373-953832-461715-18235215-258
Corpus uteri cancer87-91715-181211-1211-144-532-32725-297167-75
Prostate cancer1614-172523-293734-3965-72118-244033-48119110-128264248-282
Lymphomas, multiple myeloma4237-462321-242422-261211-138272-933428-42115106-124330309-354
Leukemia7668-862725-292221-241413-163833-431411-167367-79263247-281
Diabetes mellitus233152-3265145-59163135-1973121-44196127-2738254-118202172-235959744-1,207
Alzheimer's and other dementias5837-82108-111412-1632-58152-11374-10207175-241380314-447
Parkinson's disease2622-3043-454-532-398-1054-64542-489588-104
Drug use disorders75-11118-1522-31913-262919-4142-61311-158564-109
Ischemic heart disease1,151967-1,3711,6851,473-1,928358322-398323276-3821,8381,567-2,148343260-4581,3641,203-1,5337,0616,328-7,844
Cerebrovascular disease1,9021,606-2,2361,029888-1,189267240-298130111-153923788-1,078355269-474781689-8745,3884,790-6,067
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease1,4151,218-1,634130119-1439992-1094135-47577502-66211689-153297280-3172,6752,370-3,030
Asthma5641-742721-341210-1475-87857-1012619-352824-32233186-287
Cirrhosis of the liver193166-22510394-1157469-813733-43185161-2145945-79118110-126771696-863
Nephritis and nephrosis186160-2173633-405550-614237-48132114-15210177-135111104-119662586-758
Road traffic accidents361334-3948373-968883-939988-112238221-258200159-261121117-1251,1891,090-1,317
Poisonings8378-9010690-12733-477-89086-963729-502120-22349324-381
Falls122114-1323532-401514-161210-13112106-1192016-267169-74387368-412
Fires3633-412016-2454-51312-15183173-1944435-5899-10310287-339
Drownings144135-1563530-411918-201412-169085-966652-861616-17384355-424
Other unintentional injuries189176-204121106-1407874-833633-41280265-29812799-1688279-85913847-1,003
Self-inflicted injuries323294-356121105-1413028-321413-17224206-2453629-47126121-131874816-943
Violence10393-1176857-81130123-138109-127974-85141114-1812423-25556504-624
War149-201713-2366-785-122615-3913654-22100-0207114-308

Source: Authors' calculations.

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